New Horizons for Germany 2045: Navigating the Future
October 2024
In the late summer of 2024, a thought-provoking scenario study for Germany in 2045 was published: New Horizons 2045 - Missions for Germany. It was developed by D2030, a prominent German foresight initiative, involving over 50 experts from futures studies, politics, academia, business and civil society. The main objective of the report is to explore potential pathways for Germany to transition to a low-carbon economy by 2045. This was done through a series of open foresight processes, scenario planning and broad public engagement through online dialogues and discussions.
The scenario work builds on an earlier study of scenarios for 2030 and extends the horizon to 2045. The choice of year is deliberate, in line with Germany's goal to become carbon neutral by 2045. The study provides a roadmap for tackling the multiple crises facing Germany and the world today, from climate change to digital transformation. It focuses on how Germany can achieve a socially just and resilient transition, balancing growth, competitiveness and societal well-being in an era of change.
Key messages from the scenario work
Although the scenario work is strictly focused on Germany, there are a number of key messages that are also relevant for other places:
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